Craps Numbers Probability

Craps seems like a complicated game because there are so many terms and slang for different bets. Learning the lingo can help you understand the game.

  • 2-Way: Player betting one roll wager for himself AND the dealers.
  • 3-Way Craps: A bet made in units of 3 with one unit on 2, one unit on 3, and one unit on 12.
  • Aces: Betting that the next roll will be the total sum of 2. Also called Snake Eyes.
  • Any Craps: A bet that the next roll will be 2, 3, or 12.
  • Any Seven: A bet that the next roll will be 7.
  • Big Red: Another word for seven. Players will not use the world seven at the table.
  • Black: Dealer slang for $100 gaming chips which in most casinos are black.
  • Bones: Another name for dice.
  • Boxcars: Slang for the 12. Also called midnight.
  • Boxman: Table supervisor who sits between the dealers and opposite the stickman.
  • Box Numbers: These are the place bet numbers; 4-5-6-8-9-10.
  • Boys or The Boys: Slang for the Dealers.
  • Cold Dice: Expression used to describe the table when no one is making their point.
  • Color In: What you say when cashing out smaller valued chips for larger valued chips when leaving the craps table.
  • Come bet: A bet made after the point is established. It is exactly like a pass line bet.
  • Come out roll: The first roll of the dice to establish a point. ​
  • Comp: Complimentary or freebies provided to players based on their action.
  • Crap Numbers: The numbers 2,3 and 12.
  • Craps Check: Betting on any craps during the come out roll to hedge your pass line bet.
  • Don't Come bet: A don't pass bet made after the point is established.
  • Don't Pass bet: A bet that the shooter will not make his point.
  • Double odds: An odds bet that is twice the size of the original pass/come bet. Some casinos offer higher odds.
  • Eye in the Sky: Surveillance department or the cameras in the ceiling to watch the players and dealers.
  • Front Line: Another name for a pass line bet.
  • Garden: Slang for the field bet.
  • George: A player who is a good tipper.
  • Green: Dealer slang for $25 gaming chips which in most casinos are green.
  • Hard Way: A bet on 4, 6, 8, or 10 that wins only if the dice roll as pairs; 2-2, 3-3, 4-4, 5-5.
  • Hi-Lo: A one roll bet on 2 & 12
  • Hi-Lo-Yo: A one roll bet on 2,12 & 11.
  • Hop bet: A bet that the next roll will result in one particular combination of the dice, such as; 3-5. 2-2, 3-3, 4-4 etc.
  • Horn bet: A bet that the next roll will be 2, 3, 11, or 12, made in multiples of 4, with one unit on each of the numbers.
  • Horn High bet: A bet made in multiples of 5 with one unit on 3 of the horn numbers, and two units on the 'high' number (number 12).
  • Hot Dice or Hot Table: When players are winning or a player is rolling a lot of numbers.
  • Inside Numbers: Place bets on the numbers 5-6 -8-9
  • Lay bet: A bet that a 7 will be rolled before the number you are placing (4,5,6,8,9, or 10) comes up.
  • Lay-Out: The printed area on the felt where wagers can be placed.
  • Lay Odds: After a point has been established an additional odds bet can be made that will win if the original don't pass bet wins.
  • Little Joe: Slang for a pair of twos or Hard 4.
  • Marker: The plastic disk used to mark the point. One side is printed “on” and the other “off”.
  • Mark the Point: The dealer puts the Puck on the layout to indicate the point number.
  • Midnight: Slang for the 12. Also called box cars.
  • Natural: A seven or 11 thrown on the come out roll for a winning bet.
  • One Roll Bet: A bet in craps that is one or lost in a single roll. ​
  • Odds Bet: An additional wager made in addition to the pass line bet.
  • Off: What you say to indicate that they are not active on the next roll of the dice.
  • Off and On: Refers to the way that Dealers pays off COME BETS when a new come bet is the same number as one already established.
  • On: This means that your bets are working or in action.
  • Outside Numbers: Place bets on the 4-10 –5-9.
  • Parlay: Adding your winnings to an original bet and wagering it all. ​
  • Pass Line Bet: A wager made on the come out roll in which you are betting that the shooter will make the point.
  • Place bet: A bet that a particular number (4, 5, 6, 8, 9, or 10) will be rolled before a 7 is rolled.
  • Point: The number established by the come out roll.
  • Proposition Bet: A wager on one of the bets in the center of the layout.
  • Right Better: A player with a bet on the pass line.
  • Rack: The grooved rail where you keep your chips.
  • Seven Out: Expression when a shooter rolls a seven before making their point thus losing the pass line bet.
  • Shooter: The player rolling the dice.
  • Snake Eyes: Slang for the number 2. Also called aces.
  • Stickman: The dealer with the stick that pushed the dice to the shooter and calls the rolls.
  • Toke: Another word for a tip.
  • World Bet: A bet on the horn numbers along with any seven. (2-3-11-12)
  • Wrong Bettor: A player betting against the shooter.
  • Yo or Yo-leven: The word used for rolling an eleven so as to not confuse it with “seven.”

Understanding the Craps odds and bets that you can place is vital to ensuring you don’t lose all your money or embarrass yourself in a live game.

You might hear people shouting all types of lingo and vernacular terms such as “Horn Bets” or “Lay 10” which often confuse or put off even the biggest casino degenerates.

Thankfully, the rules of Craps are actually quite simple even if it takes time to learn the jargon. Make sure to read all information on this page, before You play craps for money.

The craps dice odds and probabilities list as follows: 2 and 12 have only one way they can be formed on two dice, thus carrying odds of 35 to 1 (a one in thirty-six chance of being rolled). 3 and 11 have two possible formations, so the odds of these appearing are 17 to 1. Nevertheless, you can quickly become a skilled craps player by understanding the fundamentals of craps odds and the house edge on each bet in the game. For example, the chances of hitting a Pass bet is 49.3% but the payout is 1/1. This difference of 1.41% is the house edge on that bet. You can use probability to figure out the odds of winning and losing in the popular casino dice game of craps. In the game of craps, on your first roll (called the come out roll), three outcomes are possible: Natural: Rolling a total of 7 or 11 — automatically wins. Craps: Rolling a total of 2, 3, or 12 — automatically loses. To calculate the craps payouts and odds for this number, we multiply the three by two (the two dice that players use in the game), and the result we get is six. Thus, the odds are 1:6 and seven is the most frequent number that comes up in craps games. How to convert the chance to roll a.

We can predict the odds of any particular number coming up on a roll and why the craps rules are made how you will see.

For example: the odds for you to roll a 4 on your next roll are 11 to 1.

You can figure this out by taking the number of ways a four can be made with two dice (with a one and a three, a pair of twos, or a three and a 1) compared to the number of combinations that two dice can make, which is 36.

So we have a 3 in 36 chance, or 1 in 12 chance that a 4 will come up on any given roll. To express these odds as ‘against’, you would say the odds against rolling a four are 11 to 1 (think of it as 11 non 4’s to one 4 for a total of 12 rolls). The calculation we’ve just done determines the ‘true odds’ of rolling a 4.

As many of you may know, the casino doesn’t like to pay back its players with ‘true odds’, it prefers to alter them.

Craps rules, like so many other casino game rules, pay back odds which guarantee the house a profit in the long run. Say for instance you were to place a bet on ‘any sevens’, meaning you’re betting that the next roll will be a seven.

The odds against hitting a seven on the next roll are 5 to 1 (you can calculate that out the same way we did for 4), which means that if you bet one dollar and win, you deserve to win 5 bucks, but the casinos only pay you 4.

Most bets in most games at the casino have been altered in this way. In fact, this is exactly the phenomenon that gives the casino a house edge in many situations.

We’ve covered all the major types of bets and odds you receive here.

Understanding Craps Odds

For instance, odds can be related either as 2-1 or 2 to 1, where a 1 credit bet returns 2 credits. In other words, 2 to 1 odds returns the original 1 credit bet and a 1 credit profit.

The Best Craps Bets

The best bets in craps are the pass line bet, taking the odds, the don’t pass bar, the come bet, and placing the 6 or the 8. Let’s look at each:

Pass Line

Craps dice roll probability

This is the most basic and popular of bets when playing Craps. It has one of the lowest house edges (1.41%) and it is very simple to place. Betting on the pass line bet or betting “with the dice” is the most common bet in craps and you will see many players or shooters choosing it.

A pass line bet requires you to place chips on the “Pass Line” section of the table. If the shooter’s come out roll is a 7 or 11, you win even money (1:1). However, if the come out roll is 2,3 or 12 (craps) you lose.

If any other number is rolled (4,5,6,8,9 or 10) it’s called the point. The shooter continues to throw the dice until he/she roles a 7 or the Point. If the point is rolled first, you win even money. If the 7 is rolled first you lose your bet.

Interestingly, in a game of Crapless Craps, the ability to lose a Pass Line bet to craps on a come out roll is removed – hence the name “crapless” craps. This improves your odds of winning by removing the house edge and increasing your expected value.

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Don’t Pass Line

You can also bet on the “Don’t Pass” line, which is basically when you are betting or laying the shooter on his first roll. This is simply the opposite of the pass line bet and is also known as betting against the dice.

Probability

To make this bet place your chips in the narrower section just beyond the pass line labelled don’t pass.

Craps Numbers Probability Games

If the shooter rolls a 2 or 3 (Craps) than you win straight away (1:1 even money). If a 7 or 11 is rolled before the Point is scored you lose. A 12 is considered a Push (draw) and normally you can relinquish this bet.

If any other number is rolled (4,5,6,7,8,9 or 10) this is established on the point number. After this happens you’ll win your money back if a 7 is rolled before the Point number, and lose if a 7 comes first.

Taking the Odds

After the point has been established, you can make an additional bet known as Taking the Odds or Pass Odds. You are betting on the Point number being rolled before a 7. The pay out odds are normally displayed on the Casino craps table.

The odds vary for different numbers based on the likelihood of them being rolled.

Normally, the payouts are as follows:

  • 4 pays 2:1
  • 5 pays 3:2
  • 6 pays 8 pays 6:5
  • 9 pays 3:2
  • 10 pays 2:1

The odds bet is the best bet you can make in the game of craps, because the house has no built-in advantage. Free odds bets are paid back at true odds, so when you’re making these bets the casino has no house edge whatsoever, it’s an even game!

Come Bet

This is similar to a Pass Line bet, but it is made after the point has been established (dealer button is ON). The next roll then becomes the Come Out roll for your bet and establishes your Point. The payout depends on the Point:

  • 7 or 11 pays 1:1 (also known as a Natural)
  • 2, 3, or 12 you lose your money (also known as Craps)
  • If neither of the above is rolled then (4,5,6,8,9 or 10) becomes the point for your bet. If a 7 comes before your point is rolled again you lose. If your point is won however your payout depends on the Point.

Come Bet Payouts:

NumberPayout
42:1
53:2
66:5
86:5
93:2
102:1

Taking the Odds

This is similar to the Come Bet and has the same odds above (Come Odds). You can place this bet only after the point has been established. If the 7 is rolled before the point, you lose.

Laying the Odds

Opposite of Taking the Odds. This is a Don’t Pass Line bet which can be made only after the point has been established. If a 7 is rolled before the point, you win.

Laying the Odds Payout:

NumberPayout
41:2
52:3
65:6
85:6
92:3
101:2

Don’t Come Bet

Oppose of Come Bet. This is similar to a Don’t Pass Line bet, but it is made after the Come Out roll. To make this bet all you need to do is to put your chips in the area labeled “Don’t Come” on the layout. You lose on a 7 or 11, and win on a 2 or 3. 12 is a “stand-off.”

Here you win if 7 rolls before your “come-point” is repeated, and lose if the “come-point” is made before a 7 is rolled.

Place Bets

You can bet on specific point numbers. If your number is rolled before a 7, you win. If a 7 comes before your point number, you lose. You’re paid out according to the table below.

Place Bets Payout:

NumberPayout
49:5
57:5
67:6
87:6
97:5
109:5

Placing the 6 or 8

When you make a place bet you bet that one of the numbers 4, 5, 6, 8, 9 or 10 will be hit before a 7 is hit. You can make a place bet any time by throwing your chips on the table while telling the dealer ‘I want to place the 6’ or whatever number you want to place your bet for.

So, if the number you bet on is rolled before a 7 you win and you are paid as follows: 4 or 10 placed – 9:5 odds, 5 or 9 placed – 7:5 odds, 6 or 8 placed – 7:6 odds.

As you can see the best for you is to place a bet on 6 or 8, because these bets have the best odds and also they have a good chance of hitting.

If you get the feeling like you want to place the 4 or 10, you should buy them instead, because although there is a Vig (a fee for winning bets) on these numbers, the edge comes out in your favor, however slightly.

However, the pass line bet is still the best one with the best odds and in the long run you should stick with it.

Although you can technically place a place bet at any time, it is impossible for it to come into effect until the shooters point is set, therefore it is more acceptable to ask for this bet after the come out roll is over.

Craps table

Bets with Poor Craps Odds

Big 6/Big 8 Bet

This is a Bet on a Big 6 or Big 8, put down after the point has been established. If a 6 or 8 is rolled before a 7, you win (1:1). This is a bet that you should not play because you can Place a bet on 6 or 8 and receive better odds.

Field Bets

Kind of what the name suggests, field bets are open to everyone who bets on the next number rolled. To place one you simple throw your chips into the table (as little chips as possible) and tell the stick man what you want. The payout for field bets:

  • 3, 4, 9, 10, and 11 all payout 1:1
  • 2 pays 2:1
  • 12 pays out either 2:1 or 3:1 (depending on the casino)

Proposition Bets

Placed before any throw. The house edge on all of these bets are over 11%. Therefore, you should not bet these very often or you should hedge your bets when you do so.

You can bet on any number as follows:

  • Betting on the next throwbeing a 2, 3 or 12 (Craps)
  • Any Seven: Betting on the next throw being a 7
  • Eleven: Betting on the next throw being an 11
  • Horn Bet: Betting on the next number being a 2, 3, 11, or 12. The payout is determined by the number rolled

Proposition bets are those placed in the middle of the table layout, and those bets never have a good house edge. You should make these bets only for fun and to make your game more exciting.

Calculating Probability Of Winning Craps

So, here they are:

  • With the “any seven” bet you’re betting the shooter will hit a 7 on the next roll. It has a horrible house edge of 16.67%. Never make this bet.
  • With the “snake eyes” bet you’re betting the shooter will throw a two on the next roll.
  • With the “yo eleven” bet you’re betting the shooter will hit an 11 on the next roll.
  • With the “any craps” bet you’re betting the shooter will throw a 2, 3, or 12 on the next roll. It holds a house edge of over 11%
  • With the “any three” bet you’re betting the shooter will throw a 3 on the next roll.
  • With the “midnight” bet you’re betting the shooter will throw a 12 on the next roll.
  • With the “horn” bet you’re combining the snake eyes, 3, yo 11, and midnight bets.

Craps Numbers Probability Calculator

Hardway Bets

A Hardway Bet is also made regarding the outcome of the next die throw. A Hardway roll occurs when doubles are thrown with an outcome of 4, 6, 8 or 10.

For example: rolling a pair of threes would produce a “hard 6”. An Easy roll is produced when the same outcome is achieved, but without rolling doubles.

For the previous example, rolling a 4 and a 2 would produce an “easy 6”. For a Hardway Bet to win, the shooter must roll a double with an outcome of 4, 6, 8 or 10. The wager loses if either a 7 or any Easy number is rolled.

Probability Of Winning Craps

The Lay Bet

The lay bet is almost similar with the don’t pass and don’t come bets, because with this bet your are playing against the dice. You can make this bet at any time in the game and it can be placed on 4, 5, 6, 8, 9 or 10. A lay bet wins when 7 rolls before the number.

7 is more likely to come up than any other number so the casino requires you to wager more than you could win. This bet also requires a commission of 5% on average. If the bet is on 4 or 10 you get 1:2 odds, on 5 or 9 2:3 odds, on six or 8 5:6 odds.

The Buy Bet

When you choose this bet it means that you will buy numbers instead of placing them.

The numbers 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10 can all be bought but there are only two numbers that really make buy bets worthwhile and those numbers are 4 and 10 because they pay off better than the other numbers. You win if the buy number comes up before a 7 is rolled.

The odds are higher for a buy bet. 2:1 on a 4 or 10 buy, 3:2 for a 5 or 9, or 6:5 for a 6 or 8. Player pays 5% “vigorish” to get true odds on all numbers.

Depending on how much you bet, buying a bet can make you more money in the end even after accounting for the ‘vig’. The odds are only in your favor on a buy bet for a 4 or 10, so stick with the place bet on any others.

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